
Whereas inhabitants progress lies on the root of many environmental issues, involved residents usually really feel disempowered from addressing it. A well-liked initiative in Switzerland could present a blueprint for activists in different developed international locations.
by Roland Schmutz
After Swiss voters narrowly rejected becoming a member of the European Financial Space in 1992, the European Union and Switzerland started negotiations on seven sectoral agreements (Bilateral 1 Treaties). These sectoral agreements on the free motion of individuals, technical obstacles to commerce, public procurement, agriculture, land transport, air transport and analysis have been concluded in 1999 and got here into drive on June 1, 2002.
By accepting the Bilateral 1 Treaties with the EU, Switzerland additionally mentioned sure to the free motion of individuals with the EU states. Since then, it has been de facto not possible to manage and even restrict immigration to Switzerland. The Swiss inhabitants is rising by 60,000 – 110,000 individuals yearly, which corresponds to a mean annual progress fee of 0.93%. The nation has grown by 1.5 million individuals (19.7%) because the “Bilateral 1” commerce agreements with the EU got here into drive in 2002.
No different EU nation has anyplace close to as excessive a inhabitants progress as a result of immigration as Switzerland.

Switzerland is a robust magnet for jobseekers from the EU. The free motion of individuals permits entry with out main bureaucratic hurdles. Each new job created spurs the creation of additional new jobs. This spiral retains turning and results in a relentless demand for extra expert staff.

With fast inhabitants progress, it’s turning into obvious that Switzerland’s infrastructure is reaching its limits. Site visitors jams on highways are a day by day prevalence, usually even on Sundays. Hours of annual visitors congestions have greater than quadrupled during the last 20 years.

Trains are so overcrowded at rush hour that commuters steadily have to face. Rental costs for studios are rising, with respectable gives attracting lots of of events. Only a few individuals will quickly be capable to afford to purchase dwelling area, and in the event that they do, it is going to be densely constructed dwelling area. Constructing a single-family dwelling will quickly be seen as absurd. Native recreation areas are disappearing as they’re displaced by settlement areas. Cultivated land can also be being misplaced to residential and industrial developments.

These developments, pushed by fast inhabitants progress, present no indicators of slowing down, though Switzerland already has a low per capita share of arable land in comparison with the remainder of Europe.

And now we’re realizing that our high quality of life is affected by this excessive inhabitants progress. We discover that welfare is giving technique to the supposed enhance in prosperity. We see how we’re dropping our dwelling.
With the intention to counteract this improvement, the Swiss Folks’s Occasion (SVP Switzerland) launched its “Sustainability Initiative – No 10 Million Switzerland” on July 4, 2023. The SVP is a proudly nationalist, politically conservative, economically liberal and Eurosceptic political occasion based in 1971. With 28% of the vote, it’s the strongest occasion in Switzerland and represents the biggest faction within the Federal Meeting.
The No 10 Million initiative requires the next:
- Switzerland’s everlasting resident inhabitants (together with all Swiss nationals with a predominant residence in Switzerland in addition to overseas nationals with a residence allow for at the least twelve months) could not exceed ten million by 2050. In any other case, the Swiss Federal Council should terminate the worldwide agreements driving inhabitants progress, particularly the free motion of individuals with the EU.
- As quickly because the everlasting resident inhabitants exceeds 9.5 million, the Federal Council should take measures, significantly within the areas of asylum and household reunification.
- The federal authorities and the cantons should guarantee sustainable inhabitants improvement to guard the environment and safe adequate infrastructure, well being care, academic establishments, electrical energy provides and social providers.
In the beginning of February 2024, the SVP introduced that it will submit the initiative in April 2024. Whereas the gathering interval for fashionable initiatives is eighteen months, the SVP collected the 100,000 signatures required in half that point. This exhibits that there’s a will for change among the many inhabitants.
The 2024 invoice just isn’t the primary time the Swiss individuals have expressed a want to restrain inhabitants progress. In 2012, the SVP launched the Federal Folks’s Initiative in opposition to Mass Immigration (MEI) which sought to reintroduce immigration quotas, equivalent to had existed earlier than the Bilateral 1 treaty. This referendum got here earlier than the individuals in 2014 and was accepted by them. The initiative allowed three years for treaties to be renegotiated with the EU.
Nevertheless, the EU made clear that none of Switzerland’s treaties with the EU could be reinstated if the free motion treaty was cancelled. Switzerland’s entry to the European Single Market wouldn’t be allowed, successfully threatening a commerce embargo on land-locked Switzerland. Different analysis and regulatory collaborations would even be closed off. European media painted Switzerland as an aggressor, as if its borders have been to be closed solely. Underneath this intense bullying, the MEI was by no means applied. Switzerland’s direct democracy was trampled on.
2021 has proven once more that the EU is ready to show its threats into actions. When the Federal Council broke off the newest negotiations with the EU relating to the framework settlement for the bilateral treaties, the EU instantly excluded Switzerland from the Horizon Europe and Erasmus analysis initiatives. Consequently, there are after all cheap doubts that the sustainability initiative, if adopted, will ever be applied. One factor in its favour is that it requires no speedy motion: the triggers for motion are sooner or later. Maybe the temper within the EU relating to immigration can also be altering. Nevertheless, we’ll solely discover out if the invoice is handed.
Roland Schmutz is President of ECOPOP, a Swiss voluntary affiliation established in 1971 devoted to the preservation of non-renewable assets and the discount of overpopulation.