
Abrupt as they might appear, current adjustments to US assist insurance policies are per the neoliberal financial ideology lengthy championed by many Republicans, and embraced by many Democrats, because the Reagan presidency. Household planning was certainly one of its casualties, in accordance with Colin Butler.
by Colin Butler
The re-election of US President Donald Trump seems to have ended the partial restraint of “tooth and claw” in worldwide relations, evident because the finish of World Conflict II. However this isn’t the primary time since 1945 that worldwide relations have crossed a threshold, foreshadowing rising dysfunction. In 1980, the election of US President Ronald Reagan was a triumph for neoliberalism, the motion to decontrol capitalism. It signified the top of the “heat decade for social justice”, which Halfdan Mahler (the longest-serving director the World Well being Group) had known as the Nineteen Seventies.1 Mahler additionally famous that after the 1978 Alma-Ata convention (“Well being for all by the yr 2000”), when “all the things appeared doable” there got here “an abrupt reversal”. This reversal quickly prolonged to international considering on fast inhabitants development and its relationship with improvement and battle.
In accordance with one scholar,2 the US authorities had integrated Malthusian considerations ever because the Truman administration’s “Level 4” international assist program, which posited that inhabitants growth-induced useful resource shortage bred Communism. In 1969, US President Richard Nixon known as inhabitants development “one of the vital critical challenges to human future within the final third of this century”.3 In 1971 a committee of the US Nationwide Academy of Sciences (NAS) printed a report concluding that “political and social conflicts” are “enormously worsened by fast inhabitants development”.4
Lengthy after Nixon resigned, he wrote: “international locations comparable to Mozambique, Ethiopia, Tanzania and Somalia might want to preserve actual financial development charges higher than 3% simply to maintain their per capita incomes from dropping. Unchecked inhabitants development will put them on an ever-accelerating treadmill that may outpace any potential financial efficiency”.5
In a debate previous to the 1984 US presidential election, each President Reagan and his Democratic opponent Walter Mondale confirmed perception into these points. Reagan signalled his authorities’s about-face on household planning by stating: “as a matter of truth the inhabitants explosion, if you happen to take a look at the precise figures, has been vastly exaggerated – over-exaggerated.” But, he additionally famous “the issue of inhabitants development is one right here with regard to our immigration. And we’ve been the security valve, whether or not we needed to or not, with the unlawful entry right here; in Mexico, the place their inhabitants is rising they usually don’t have an financial system that may soak up them and supply the roles.” Mondale argued: “One of many greatest issues in the present day is that the international locations to our south are so desperately poor that these individuals who will virtually lose their lives in the event that they don’t come north, come north regardless of all of the dangers.”6
In the course of the Reagan administration a report was commissioned to replace the 1971 NAS evaluation. It was co-chaired by D. Gale Johnson and Ronald Lee. Printed in 1986, this report7 is way extra circumspect than the sooner one. Nonetheless, whereas silent on the danger of battle, it does notice that “a rise in fertility will, a minimum of within the quick run, shift earnings from landless staff to homeowners of land and capital. This shift will have a tendency to extend each the variety of people who find themselves poor (outlined in absolute earnings phrases) and the diploma of earnings inequality within the society.” Nonetheless, in contrast to the sooner NAS report, this report lacked statements unequivocally concluding that fast inhabitants development harms society. It implicitly characterises the 1971 report as “excessive”, asserting such views have “little help”.
Johnson was a “cornucopian”. For instance, in 2000 he printed an article which claimed that “the creation of information” enabled “the world to flee from what may very well be known as the Malthusian entice”.8 Apparently, Johnson didn’t focus on the then current (1994) genocide in Rwanda, which the economists Andre and Platteau known as a “Malthusian entice”.9
Cornucopianism – the self-esteem that ingenuity will perpetually trump useful resource shortage – was excessively influential within the 1986 report. For instance, 12 of its 217 references had been both to Julian Simon (a proselytiser of cornucopianism) or to chapters in his co-edited guide The Resourceful Earth: A Response to World 2000.10, 11 Simon made statements comparable to “provides of pure assets should not restricted in any financial sense. Nor does previous expertise give purpose to count on pure assets to turn into extra scarce. Fairly, if historical past is any information, pure assets will progressively turn into less expensive, therefore much less scarce, and can represent a smaller proportion of our bills in future years.”12

In the course of the Reagan administration, the official US place on inhabitants development altered radically. Finkle and Crane famous that the US place on the United Nations’ 1984 Mexico Metropolis inhabitants convention “appeared to problem a number of the primary assumptions underlying nationwide and worldwide inhabitants applications. Changing the earlier emphasis on the necessity for vigorous authorities applications to cut back the speed of inhabitants development, the brand new US place asserted in a proper coverage assertion that “inhabitants development is, of itself, a impartial phenomenon.” The assertion additional contended that creating international locations experiencing inhabitants pressures ought to cut back authorities interference of their economies so as to promote financial development and thereby cut back fertility.”13 Finkle and Crane additionally famous that the Inhabitants Affiliation of America, representing US demographers and inhabitants specialists, commented that the authors of the draft US report for this 1984 assembly had been “both unaware of fifty years of demographic analysis, or intentionally ignored it”. Within the US, 245 editorials had been printed about this, of which fewer than 40 supported the federal government place.13
What precipitated this shift? Maybe the view that an indefinitely poor international South (saved poor partially by tabooing the subject of inhabitants development and its relationship to improvement, and thus undermining household planning applications) would enhance labour forces and depress wages within the South, maximising low cost useful resource extraction and materials consumption by neoliberalism’s “winners”. The Marxist scholar Joan Robinson lends help to this view. Within the preface to her guide Essay on Marxian Economics she wrote: “In his anxiousness to fight the reactionary views of Malthus he [i.e. Marx] refused to confess {that a} fast development of inhabitants is deleterious to the pursuits of the working class.”14 The late ecological economist Herman Daly cited Robinson and remarked that the literal Latin which means of ‘proletariat’ is ‘these with many offspring’; “the bottom class of a individuals, whose members, poor and exempt from taxes, had been helpful to the republic just for the procreation of youngsters”.15

Maurice King, the main proponent in public well being scholarship of the idea of “demographic entrapment,”16 recognized the danger to capitalism as an particularly essential purpose for suppressing the hurt to human wellbeing from fast inhabitants development. He wrote that lifting the taboo on the dialogue of inhabitants development risked “the financial foundations of the worldwide society, its materialist, consumerist, market financial system, pushed by the diabolical processes of promoting to advertise ever extra luxurious and unsustainable life.” 17
The US administration of Donald Trump is clearly bored with international improvement. It has slashed the price range for USAID. The tabooing and suppression of the connection between fast inhabitants development and perpetuating poverty,18 which took maintain within the Nineteen Eighties, was a extra refined manifestation of this disinterest. The schism between those that advocate human rights-based household planning within the South19 and people on the Left who harshly criticize such advocacy20 is a entice set by neoliberalism. Releasing this entice is lengthy overdue.
Colin Butler is Honorary Professor on the Nationwide Centre for Epidemiology and Inhabitants Well being and the Institute for Local weather, Power and Catastrophe Options, Australian Nationwide College, Canberra, Australia
References
- Nameless. (2008) Major Well being Care Comes Full Circle. An interview with Dr. Halfdan Mahler. Bulletin of the World Well being Group 86: 737–816.
- Hoff DS. (2010) “Kick that Inhabitants Fee within the ass”: The Nixon Administration, the Fee on Inhabitants Development and the American future, and the defusing of the inhabitants bomb. Journal of Coverage Historical past; 22: 23-63.
- Nixon R. Particular message to the Congress on issues of inhabitants development. 1969. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/paperwork/special-message-the-congress-problems-population-growth (accessed 12/3/25).
- Nationwide Academy of Sciences. Speedy Inhabitants Development: Penalties and Coverage Implications. Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins College Press; 1971.
- Nixon R. Seize the Second: America’s Problem in a One-Superpower World. New York, NY: Simon and Schuster; 1992.
- Reagan R, Mondale W. (1984) Debate on Overseas Coverage. The New York Occasions; October 24: B4-B6.
- Nationwide Analysis Council. Inhabitants Development and Financial Improvement: Coverage Questions. Washington, DC: Nationwide Academy of Sciences Press; 1986.
- Johnson DG. (2000) Inhabitants, meals, and information. American Financial Evaluation; 90: 1-14.
- André C, Platteau J-P. (1998) Land relations below insufferable stress: Rwanda caught within the Malthusian entice. Journal of Financial Conduct and Group; 34: 1–47.
- Simon JL, Kahn H. The Resourceful Earth: A Response to World 2000. Oxford, UK: Blackwell; 1984.
- Butler CD. Inhabitants, neoliberalism and “human carrying capability”. In: Butler CD, Higgs Ok, eds. Local weather Change and World Well being: Major, Secondary and Tertiary Results. Second ed. Wallingford, UK., Boston USA: CABI; 2024: 113-24.
- Simon J. The Final Useful resource 2. Princeton, NJ: Princeton College Press; 1996.
- Finkle JL, Crane B. (1985) Ideology and politics at Mexico Metropolis: The USA on the 1984 Worldwide Convention on Inhabitants. Inhabitants and Improvement Evaluation; 11: 1-28.
- Robinson J. Preface. Essay on Marxian Economics. 2nd ed. London, UK: MacMillan Press; 1966: 6-21.
- Daly H. (1971) A Marxian-Malthusian view of poverty and improvement. Inhabitants Research; 24: 25-37.
- King M. (1990) Well being is a sustainable state. The Lancet; 336: 664-7.
- King M, Mola G, Thornton J, et al. Major Mom Care (Definitive Version). Stamford, UK: Spiegl Press; 2003.
- Coole D. (2021) The toxification of inhabitants discourse. A genealogical research. The Journal of Improvement Research; 57: 1454-69.
- Bryant L, Carver L, Butler CD, Anage A. (2009) Local weather change and household planning: least developed international locations outline the agenda. Bulletin of the World Well being Group; 87: 852-7.
- Monbiot G. (2020) Inhabitants panic lets wealthy individuals off the hook for the local weather disaster they’re fuelling. The Guardian.